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Wednesday, June 4, 2025 | 03:09 GMT-7
XRP has captured renewed attention this week, climbing for the fifth straight session and rebounding approximately 10% from its late-May lows. On June 4, 2025, the token traded around $2.26—its highest level in nearly two weeks—driven by a mix of regulatory clarity, ETF speculation, and ongoing global adoption efforts. With analysts eyeing potential breakouts toward $5 and beyond if key catalysts materialize, Press News examines the factors behind XRP’s latest rally and explores whether its long-term trajectory could reach five-figure territory.
Fresh Momentum: Five Sessions of Consecutive Gains
After dipping to about $2.08 on May 31—a monthly low—XRP has steadily climbed back, reaching $2.2658 on June 4. That 10% rebound marks the token’s fifth consecutive positive day, a streak that underscores a growing shift in market sentiment. Many observers had grown skeptical in recent weeks as broader crypto indexes languished; XRP’s resilience stands out amid otherwise uneven performance.
“We’re seeing renewed appetite as XRP rebuilds support around the $2.20 level,” says Press News market analyst Anika Patel.
“Whales have been quietly accumulating between $2.00 and $2.40, and that accumulation is now translating into sustained upward pressure.”
On-chain data confirms that many large holders increased their positions in recent sessions, reinforcing the idea that institutional and whale interest is returning after a period of uncertainty.
Technical Landscape: On the Cusp of a Breakout
From a technical perspective, XRP is sandwiched between two key exponential moving averages: its 200-day EMA, now serving as support, and its 50-day EMA, which continues to cap near-term gains. Since early February, price action has formed a narrowing wedge—sometimes called a triangle—where the lower boundary has closely tracked the 200-day EMA.
- Support Zone: $2.19–$2.27 (200-day EMA)
- Immediate Resistance: $2.50 (50-day EMA)
- Breakout Trigger: $2.60 (short-term target)
Press News’s proprietary chart analysis shows that XRP has respected this wedge pattern, testing the lower edge several times before rebounding. If XRP breaks decisively above $2.50—with accompanying volume—they could target $3.00 in short order. A follow-through move above $3.00 could open eyes toward $5.00 in the medium term.
“A daily candle closing above $2.50 is the key technical milestone here,” explains Press News technical strategist David Liang.
“Given the wedge’s tight range, we could see a sharp move higher if that threshold is cleared—perhaps a quick push to $3.00, and eventually toward $5.00 if momentum endures.”
Volume, too, has ticked up on positive sessions, and new higher lows suggest underlying bullish momentum. Yet hard resistance remains just above current levels. Should XRP fail to break out, it risks retracing to $2.00 or lower, depending on broader market sentiment.
Regulatory Clarity: Ripple’s Landmark Settlement
Arguably the most important underpinning of XRP’s recent surge is Ripple’s long-awaited legal settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In late April, Ripple reached an agreement confirming that XRP is not a security under U.S. law, removing a major overhang that weighed on institutional and retail participation for over two years.
“Confirming XRP’s non-security status was a watershed moment,” says Press News legal reporter Marie Vasquez.
“That regulatory clarity has brought back several institutional managers who had paused exposure until they received explicit guidance.”
Since the settlement, large asset managers have quietly begun accumulating XRP holdings. With the primary regulatory uncertainty behind them, both retail traders and professional funds can now view XRP under the same frameworks they use for Bitcoin and Ethereum—treating it as a commodity rather than a federal security.
ETF Speculation and Anticipated Inflows
Ongoing chatter around a potential spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) further fuels the rally. Franklin Templeton’s application for a spot XRP ETF remains under SEC review, with a decision expected by June 17. If approved, industry observers suggest an ETF could replicate the 2024 Bitcoin ETF playbook, ushering in billions of dollars of fresh capital.
“If a spot XRP ETF gets the green light, inflows could dwarf current trading volume,” warns Press News crypto strategist Elena Marin.
“Just look at how Bitcoin reacted last year. XRP’s market capitalization is far smaller, so the impact could be even more dramatic here.”
Indeed, many analysts forecast a 300–500% move from current levels, contingent on ETF approval. Even rumors of a favorable ruling have driven speculative buying, tightening liquidity and boosting price.
Real-World Utility: Ripple’s Expanding Global Footprint
While regulatory and ETF catalysts dominate headlines, Ripple’s technological and commercial developments are equally significant. In May, the company’s RLUSD stablecoin was approved for use within Dubai’s financial free zone. That milestone cements Ripple’s presence in the Middle East and reinforces XRP’s role as an enterprise-grade settlement token.
“RLUSD’s launch in Dubai proves Ripple’s solutions can operate in strict regulatory environments,” reports Press News correspondent Sarah Khan.
“It paves the way for cross-border corridors that leverage XRP’s speed and low fees, particularly for banking partners in emerging markets.”
Beyond Dubai, Ripple continues to expand partnerships with banks and payment providers, positioning XRP for instant, low-cost global transfers. Additionally, the forthcoming XRPL Apex Summit in Singapore (June 10–12) promises major network upgrades: AI-driven payment rails, cross-chain swap protocols, and new decentralized finance (DeFi) modules. Each upgrade could drive meaningful on-chain activity and institutional interest.
Whale Accumulation and Funding Rate Signals
On-chain metrics from Press News Elixir indicate significant whale accumulation between $2.20 and $2.40. Concurrently, XRP perpetual futures maintain positive funding rates, meaning traders pay a premium to hold long positions—an indication of bullish sentiment. Combined with subdued daily transaction volume (a temporary effect of network maintenance), these data points hint that large players are positioning ahead of major announcements.
“Money flow analysis shows institutions rotating back into XRP,” says blockchain analyst Victor Cho.
“Even though ledger activity dipped slightly last week, that is more a function of scheduled upgrades rather than waning interest. Once new DeFi features go live, we expect usage—and institutional capital—to surge again.”
Short-Term Outlook: Targets and Scenarios
Base Case (June–July 2025):
- A clear break above $2.50 could ignite a move to $3.00 within weeks.
- Some models forecast a retest of January’s highs near $3.40 if momentum holds.
Bullish Scenario:
- ETF approval on or before June 17 could trigger a spike toward $5.00 by late July or early August—nearly a 250% move from current levels.
Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to clear $2.50–$2.60 resistance might see XRP retest support near $2.00 or even $1.76 if broader markets sour.
Regardless of the outcome, traders should watch the $2.50–$2.60 zone closely. A sustained break above these levels, accompanied by high volume, is likely to confirm a bullish breakout. Conversely, a sharp rejection could lead to a deeper retracement.
Medium- and Long-Term Projections: From $8 to $100?
Looking beyond summer, expert estimates vary widely:
- Year-End 2025 Forecasts:
- Conservative outlooks anticipate a range of $8 to $12, assuming reasonable institutional adoption, moderate ETF inflows, and steady XRPL development.
- Bullish voices peg year-end at $24, citing robust global payment corridors and tokenization of real-world assets.
- 2026–2027 Projections:
- If Ripple successfully leverages its global partnerships and XRPL upgrades roll out on schedule, fair value estimates rise to $25–$30 in 2026.
- More ambitious models project $35–$45 by late 2027, as XRP’s use in cross-border transactions and DeFi expands.
At the extreme end of optimism, social-media pundits envision exponential gains:
“XRP hitting $100 by 2026 is entirely plausible,” wrote prominent analyst @B_arri_C on X.
“Once we clear that threshold, the token’s utility in global finance could catapult it to $1,000. This is not just hype; it’s a utility-driven explosion waiting to happen.”
While such forecasts capture headlines, Press News urges caution. There is scant precedent for single-digit-dollar assets climbing into three-figure territory within a two-year window, even under the best market conditions. Intensified regulatory scrutiny, macroeconomic headwinds, or execution missteps could all derail the most optimistic scenarios.
Four Key Catalysts Powering XRP’s Upside
- Spot ETF Approval:
The SEC’s decision on Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF, due June 17, remains the most critical near-term event. Approval could unleash multi-billion-dollar inflows, mirroring Bitcoin’s experience in early 2024. - Regulatory Certainty:
Ripple’s legal victory clarified XRP’s status, removing a major barrier and unlocking institutional capital that had been sidelined. This foundation is crucial for building long-term confidence. - XRPL Innovation:
The XRPL Apex Summit—scheduled for June 10–12 in Singapore—promises AI-driven payment rails, cross-chain swap capabilities, and fresh DeFi protocols. Any successful demonstration could sharply boost on-chain activity and institutional interest. - Global Adoption:
Real-world use cases such as RLUSD in Dubai and new banking corridors in Asia reinforce XRP’s value proposition for cross-border remittances. Each partnership amplifies the narrative that XRP can deliver instant, low-cost transfers at scale.
Practical Advice for Retail Traders
- Mark Key Dates:
- June 10–12: XRPL Apex Summit in Singapore. Watch for announcements around AI-based payments and new DeFi tools.
- June 17: SEC’s vote on the Franklin Templeton spot XRP ETF.
- Monitor Technical Zones:
- $2.50–$2.60 is the critical resistance cluster. A clear daily close above this level could validate a breakout.
- On the downside, $2.00–$2.20 serves as immediate support. Consider setting protective stop losses near $2.00.
- Stay Informed:
Regulatory developments, ETF news, and XRPL protocol changes can drive sharp moves. Follow reputable sources—such as Press News—for timely updates. - Manage Risk and Diversify:
While XRP’s setup appears bullish, cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile. Allocate only a portion of your portfolio to XRP and balance exposure with other assets.
FAQs: XRP’s Outlook in a Nutshell
Why Is XRP’s Price Rising?
A confluence of factors—Ripple’s legal settlement confirming XRP is not a security, speculation around an imminent spot ETF, and expanding global partnerships—has driven renewed institutional and retail demand. On-chain whale accumulation and tightening supply further amplify upward pressure.
Will XRP Reach $10?
Achieving $10 would likely require robust global adoption in payments, continued regulatory wins, and a healthy macroeconomic backdrop in crypto. Some experts believe it could happen by 2030 if Ripple cements its role in cross-border remittance and tokenization, but in the near term, that target remains ambitious.
Could XRP Hit $20 or Higher?
A $20 price tag would necessitate exceptional global use, large-scale DeFi adoption, and sustained bull-market conditions. Most mainstream forecasts remain more conservative—focusing on $8–$12 by year-end 2025—but the most optimistic models envision $20+ by 2030 under ideal circumstances.
Is a “Skyrocket” Possible?
Yes—if major catalysts align (spot ETF approval, broad institutional adoption, and XRPL upgrades) XRP could outpace many peers. Some scenarios stretch valuations as high as $35–$50 by 2030. Nevertheless, traders must remain mindful of crypto’s volatility and the potential for swift reversals.
As June 2025 unfolds, XRP stands at a pivotal crossroads. Five straight days of price gains highlight renewed momentum, but a decisive break above $2.50–$2.60 is needed to confirm a genuine breakout. Near-term catalysts—especially the SEC’s ETF decision and XRPL summit announcements—could trigger sharp price swings in either direction.
Press News believes the fundamental case for XRP remains compelling: regulatory clarity is in place, global partnerships are expanding, and technical upgrades are imminent. Should these positive developments proceed without major setbacks, the long-term outlook could justify lofty projections—possibly even beyond $30–$40 by 2027.
However, extreme forecasts (such as $100 by 2026) should be viewed with healthy skepticism. Market conditions, network execution, and broader economic factors will all influence XRP’s trajectory. For now, traders should watch key technical levels, stay abreast of regulatory and XRPL updates, and manage risk prudently.
Ultimately, June may prove to be the most consequential month for XRP in 2025. If the token can navigate its short-term hurdles, it may well be on the cusp of a far larger upward move. But if resistance firmly holds, a retracement could follow. In either scenario, XRP’s path forward will serve as a barometer for the intersection of regulation, utility, and sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency landscape.
